December 9, 2007
Four Trading Ideas for Monday, December 10
I am doing a very expensive one-month trial of a piece of trading software and thought it best if we look at its ideas together. At the end of the month we should know if it’s worth the money. If anyone makes money off any ideas this month, please throw me a bone to help defray the cost of the trial. Remember that these are just black-box-generated ideas; trade at your own risk!
Short CEPH below 76.25
Protective Stop above 78.05
Target #1: 72.52 to 71.82
Target #2: 70.51 to 71.19
Target #3: 67.36 to 68.01
Target #4: 60.99 to 61.58Short ORCL below 21.06
Protective Stop above 21.54
Target #1: 18.97 to 18.59
Target #2: 17.44 to 17.80
Target #3: 15.04 to 15.35
Target #4: 11.92 to 12.16Short HPQ below 51.68
Protective Stop above 52.67
Target #1: 47.79 to 47.19
Target #2: 46.04 to 46.63
Target #3: 43.29 to 43.85
Target #4: 37.70 to 38.18Short UTX below 77.42
Protective Stop above 78.40
Target #1: 72.14 to 71.16
Target #2: 68.29 to 69.23
Target #3: 62.37 to 63.23
Target #4: 54.57 to 55.32
UPDATE: Found two more ideas. In future these ideas will be emailed directly to you, not posted, so if you’d like to join the list just email me.
Short ROP below 64.77
Protective Stop above 65.83
Target #1: 59.35 to 58.28
Target #2: 54.15 to 55.14
Target #3: 49.05 to 49.95
Target #4: 40.81 to 41.56Short MAN below 64.10
Protective Stop above 65.13
Target #1: 54.44 to 55.20
Target #2: 51.86 to 52.58
Target #3: 44.22 to 44.83
December 9th, 2007 at 1:38 pm
Shouldn’t we be paying the box then? ;)
December 9th, 2007 at 2:00 pm
Well I ran through my complete repertoire of technical ideas and must say I’m pretty stumped by those picks, will follow with interest. Is position sizing also boxed? Those stocks look like they might be a school of fish regarding correlation. I need some more ideas.
December 9th, 2007 at 2:22 pm
Andrew: Gimme the money and I’ll hand it over to the box when I see him, I promise. Position sizing is all based on how much you can afford to lose. I hope it kicks out a couple ideas every day for the next couple of weeks… we’ll see.
December 9th, 2007 at 8:54 pm
What’s the black box you are using called? Or is that proprietary? :)
December 9th, 2007 at 9:02 pm
Tom: Old Man Proprietary.
December 10th, 2007 at 2:06 am
can you please find some more short ideas…
a riproaring bull market is a great place to
find shorts…how about AAPL?…
December 10th, 2007 at 8:04 am
wiseguy: There’s always a rip-roaring bull market somewhere in the big stock market, though not always a wise place to search for shorts.
December 10th, 2007 at 8:19 am
I gotta say as well except for MAN it looks like the wind is at their backs. CEPH could be shaky but pretty much all of them are in solid uptrends. If your box turns out to be right then it is more likely due to the babies on the street not getting what they want from the fed. Is it intermarket?
December 10th, 2007 at 9:03 am
I’ve learned to not buy into high IV unless there’s a damn good reason to ignore it.
CEPH looks like it might play, but not the others.
Then again, given a long enough timeline anything could happen.
And finally, I am wrong more then right so maybe you’re on to something there!
December 10th, 2007 at 9:32 am
methinks you got ripped off…
December 10th, 2007 at 10:06 am
i’d have to agree with Donk. MAN is the only one that looks like a good short to me…
December 10th, 2007 at 10:10 am
I think this is a great idea, have not visited the site in a number of weeks. Glad to see heads up stock ideas and I commend you for looking at new services, you never know what will work in this world. I think oil service is getting long in the tooth, and I am afraid to short them, which is a confirming indicator that they are probably good shorts, especially lower quality ones. Also some beaten down retail names like Hot Topic or Office Max could go lower, I like to short broken names vs the new high list.
December 10th, 2007 at 10:31 am
Pretty aggressive targets for simply shorting below the previous day lows.
December 10th, 2007 at 11:12 am
@Donk: There’s no intermarket analysis, it’s a simple box.
@CapGain: Like all trading ideas, some will work, some won’t, most won’t even fill.
@KB: Time will tell. Your generous donation will help defray the rip-off. ;-)
@Jack: I knew you’d be pleased.
@Brian: Yes, it may be best to think about target 1 and not fantasize about those huge multi-month moves predicted by the larger targets.
December 10th, 2007 at 8:33 pm
OT on your “Stock Traders’ Daily” link in sidebar:
Anybody that claims to be about TRADING but has a “Bernakometer” on their front page is certifiably full of s#!t. Isn’t it Bernanke?
December 11th, 2007 at 10:40 am
Any MAN 64.10 orders would of been filled.
December 11th, 2007 at 11:28 am
Cap: Yes, and anyone filled should be psychologically prepared to lose a buck.
December 11th, 2007 at 1:28 pm
What? You could LOSE a buck speculating?
December 12th, 2007 at 8:27 am
well looks like they’re all right choices! not that the fed had anything to do with it.