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March 15, 2007


Passing Tests within Failure

Post mini-crash, there were the classic Three Little Indian pushes down and then today the big test…

spy 30

But the trend on the daily flipped down with the mini-crash…

spy d

So all countertrend rallies on smaller time frames will be looked at as potential shorts.

spy 60

5 Responses to “Passing Tests within Failure”

  1. zi said:

    so you think the market will go down further? I thought if this SPY can move above your shorting area, it is bullish.

  2. C. Maoxian said:

    zi: I have no idea what the market will do, but a short-term trader would still be approaching things with a short bias here, until the trend on the daily flips back up.

  3. zi said:

    appreciate your thoughts. I agree the trend is down and it will likely stay this way for 3 or more weeks, imo. however, I would be interested in seeing if this bounce can pass over SPY 141 area.

  4. C. Maoxian said:

    zi: The trend could reverse tomorrow, who knows? I try not to guess ahead in time.

  5. DT said:

    Agree that the trend is down until we can get a rally day with good upside volume. All of the “rallies” after the mini-crash were in light volume. Until we see volume grow on the upside I’ll be suspicious of the market.

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