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April 20, 2007


Stock Du Jour (EBAY) & Random Observations

Tough day again — OK morning but then selling hit in the afternoon and by around 2:30 things were officially ugly. Healthcare (XLV) and Big Pharma (PPH) again at new highs … Schering-Plough (SGP) especially strong with Lilly (LLY) close behind.

EBAY reported earnings after the close on Wednesday and it looks like the initial reaction as it spiked above $36.50 in after-hours trading was exactly wrong.

EBAY

AVNR was active again, no doubt trapping all the folks who blindly buy the previous day’s big mover. The worst thing that can happen to a day trader who knows what he’s doing is taking a small, pre-determined loss and moving on. The ability to manage risk is what separates professional speculators from amateur punters.

AVNR

4 Responses to “Stock Du Jour (EBAY) & Random Observations”

  1. Jeff Stanton said:

    I want to make sure I understand your comment below - the worst is a small loss which is a good. Stay in the game to play another day. This is what you ment? correct? “The worst thing that can happen to a day trader is taking a small, pre-determined loss and moving on — this is what separates the professional speculators from the amateur punters: managing risk”

  2. C. Maoxian said:

    Jeff: Right. There are folks who blindly buy the open (at market) and hope for the best. Professional speculators are extremely careful about quantifying their potential loss *before* they enter a trade. I understand your confusion, I didn’t write that bit very well — let me re-write it now (and probably make it worse). ;-)

  3. Ted said:

    In my book, a small pre-determined “loss” is always a “win”.

  4. C. Maoxian said:

    Ted: Yes, that’s a useful little mental trick to learn. You can make sure that a sound file plays every time your stop is hit — applause or cheering is effective.

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