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April 22, 2008


The Worst Thing You Can Have Is Models and Spreadsheets

From an interview with Warren Buffett earlier this month:

“I read a few prospectuses for residential-mortgage-backed securities - mortgages, thousands of mortgages backing them, and then those all tranched into maybe 30 slices. You create a CDO by taking one of the lower tranches of that one and 50 others like it. Now if you’re going to understand that CDO, you’ve got 50-times-300 pages to read, it’s 15,000. If you take one of the lower tranches of the CDO and take 50 of those and create a CDO squared, you’re now up to 750,000 pages to read to understand one security. I mean, it can’t be done. When you start buying tranches of other instruments, nobody knows what the hell they’re doing. It’s ridiculous.”

Reminded me of Bill Ackman’s $109,000 bill for photocopies. I wonder how many pages John Paulson read? 3,000,000,000 photocopies at a dollar a page would be breakeven. :-)

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