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December 2, 2008


Renminbi Devaluation Underway

Yuan Falls Most Since End of Currency Link Before Paulson Visit

“The currency declined 0.7 percent after the People’s Bank of China set the daily reference rate at the weakest level since August, prompting speculation policy makers favor a depreciating currency to spur demand for Chinese goods.”

China is looking out for Number One.

As you can see from the spread chart below, the non-deliverable forwards shifted in late September, so the market has been expecting this policy change for a good long while now.

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