Filtering by Tag: vrx

Updates on SunEdison and Valeant

Added on by C. Maoxian.

I wrote my widely-read posts on SunEdison ($SUNE) and Valeant ($VRX) back in January, and thought I'd post updated charts to show what has happened since. 

SunEdison (SUNE) was $3.41 when I wrote that post and last traded at $0.43, an 87% drop. The trend turned in July 2015 and has been continuously down since.  I'm flabbergasted that there are big-money hedge funds that rode this one all the way down, and continued to hold even after reading my post. 

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Valeant (VRX) is a little more complicated. As you recall, the key exit was on September 28, 2015 at $196.73, the same day that Xuhua Zhou's blog post appeared. On December 7, 2015 my trend-following system signaled a buy in VRX at $94.08. The exit from that long occurred on February 16, 2016 at $90.49 (a loss of 3.8%), and the trend has remained down since, with the stock closing last Friday at $28.10, a 68.9% fall from the February exit.

Again, there were prestigious, big-money guys who rode this thing all the way down, and even *added* to their losing positions as it fell ... completely unbelievable from this frayed-shirtcuff chartist's perspective. 

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Avoiding Disaster in Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX)

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Again, applying my trend-following system to a single stock, this time Valeant Pharmaceuticals. Mr. Ackman clearly doesn't have a frayed-shirtcuff chartist on his staff who can identify trend reversals. For what it's worth, the system got long VRX again in early December; probably will wipe out the gain from earlier, but only time will tell.

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Valeant Pharmaceuticals for Elliott Wave Aficionados

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Click the chart to enlarge it and study hard ... would love to chat with a trader who played VRX using this weekly Elliott Wave -- getting long in August 2014 and exiting in August 2015 ... everybody sees the same thing at the same time (assuming they're watching), but acting on it is what sets people apart. 

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