Repeat guest, formerly featured in Episode 119
Episode 157 ... Alex @TAGRtrades (62:23)
- Wife takes care of their new baby (four months old)
- Hasn't had a full night of sleep in four months
- Child care $30K a year so doesn't make sense for wife not to stay at home [only in 'murika]
- December 2017 his best month to date
- Bitcoin / Blockchain mania at end of year 2017, he was able to catch that
- MARA, DPW, RIOT his main plays ... sympathy plays
- He would buy the one that was still red when the other two turned green
- Lots of liquidity, easy to trade size since exits so easy
- June 2018 will be five years of trading full time
- Have to know what are the leaders and laggards in a sector
- He knew when to back off, take the foot off the pedal, this time around
- When friends and family contact you for advice, it shows the end is near
- One or two days a month was where he made the bulk of his gains
- Equity curve looks pretty when stretched out, but if you zoom in it looks choppier
- Compounding is the key
- Only one day this year with zero trades, but quite a few with only one or two trades
- Stocks that he trades are low float, under $10 ... lots of liquidity issues
- Makes errors, then doesn't correct them, tries to wriggle out, problems snowball
- Trying to be better about 1) market preparation; 2) holding longer; 3) getting bigger
- In order to get bigger, you have to get better [great saying]
- Liquidity issues are huge when your account size gets bigger
- Lives in central time zone, market opens at 8:30 AM
- Starts looking at market about 90 minutes before the open
- Develops watch list night before -- stocks to watch
- Puts 12 charts on the screens at once
- Looks at daily charts for support / resistance levels
- Following the right people on Twitter is important for getting news
- Pays for two news services, squawk boxes (TradeXchange, Benzinga Pro); worth the money
- He's in favor of journaling, but doesn't do it as much as he used to
- He's not a big spender, seeing himself down $2-3K in a trade still painful
- When he has a big day, he doesn't celebrate
- Still risks same percentage per trade (max 2-3% loss) as in the past
- Has no confidence in his swing trading ability yet
- People say he's just a long-biased trader in a giant bull market (to put him down I guess?)
- Now he's 85% on the long side, 15% short side
- Short trades are 1/20th the size of his long trades
- Never adds to his short trades, takes one shot
- Watches top ten most volume names closely
- Uses finviz.com to scan ... under $10 stocks, trading 2.5x average daily volume (whatever the default is)
- Great charts don't matter if the volume isn't there
- Looks closely at all the charts (20-30) from scan above
- Low float, hot sector, high short interest, good chart setups
- Knows top five and bottom five from his list
- Always starts with the daily chart, only looks back 20 days for high / low resistance
- Then looks at the hourly chart for support / resistance
- Uses 3 minute chart to enter trades
- Looks for flag and pennant patterns after a breakout
- Uses VWAP on every single chart, but doesn't overanalyze it
- VWAP gives you a quick basis of where the average person stands
- Adds 200- and 50-day moving average to charts as target levels (since other people look at those levels)
- No longer scales into trades, he just goes all in now, max risk from single entry, one shot
- Quickly takes profits on a piece, then slowly scales out the rest (1/5th his size left at final target, e.g. 200-day MA)
- Self-discipline all important, be flexible, make adjustments
- New traders see one mold, try it, it doesn't fit them, they give up or lose a lot
- Be flexible instead, find what fits you
- Twitter: @TAGRtrades