Episode 105 ... Alex AT09_Trader (58:11)
- Recorded November 16, 2016 [date for context on shipping stocks discussion]
- First saw DRYS when it went from $8 to $16
- Did not have borrow on DRYS so didn't "get balls squeezed"
- Low float stock with SSR (Short Sale Restriction), no selling pressure
- Traded sympathy plays TOPS SINO
- Forced to cover SINO (2.8MM float), could have blown out on that one alone
- Garbage companies looking to raise money
- Shorts get trapped, causes "float rotation"
- Terrified to buy because fliers get halted
- Lost $40K in EGLE, 35,000 shares with $7s average, could have lost a lot more if didn't get out
- Dad came from Turkey to US in 1980s, entrepreneur at heart, hard worker
- Dad made a lot of money in the electronics business
- Dad put his money in the stock market, blue chips
- 2008, Alex was 15 or 16, Dad's business fell apart, no more money
- Sold car's wheels for $2000, put money in TD or eTrade account
- Found a penny stock guru
- Lost all his money following guru
- Got a job at Starbucks, tried stock market again with meager savings
- Joined a new chatroom where he learned about shorting, "lightbulb went on"
- Put money in offshore broker, 6x intraday leverage, avoid pattern day trader rule, prayed it wasn't a scam
- Shorted VGGL from $4 to $3.50, felt euphoric
- Shorting became everything to him
- Blew up small account five or six times, shorting indiscriminately
- Shorting trash stocks worked, evolved to shorting sympathy plays
- Sympathy plays you can find the borrow and it's cheaper
- Thinks Pattern Day Trader rule is stupid
- Girlfriend broke up with him, allowed him to save money, obsessed about market instead of her
- 22 years old, been trading for three years (in Feb. 2017)
- He's addicted to trading, on his mind 24-7, constantly planning his trades
- Doesn't sleep much at night
- Checks pre-market gappers
- Closely watches pre-market movers
- Writes down a plan for the day
- Figures out support and resistance for each stock he plans to trade
- Puts orders in above, hopes for spikes up at open [sounds risky]
- By nature incredibly stubborn
- Struggles to cut losses fast, would be a millionaire already if he didn't stubbornly hold losers
- Tried using stop losses, but always gets stopped out at the top
- Now stops out half, and re-adds if it reverses
- Never sets pre-determined amount he's willing to lose
- Doesn't look at his P&L in real time
- Loves taking risks in any situation
- Adds to losers "where it makes sense"
- Don't cloud your judgment by saying you suck, you're an idiot
- Have to be able to re-enter quickly despite the loss you just took
- Now with his big account, he can throw out feelers into parabolics and add on the way down
- Grew $5000 account through consistent days, slowly but surely, showed up day after day
- Now he tries to find perfect opportunities, tries not to trade every day
- Some chat rooms have 1,000 person base ... whatever they buy, it instantly goes back down
- Ideal set-up is sympathy play, trapped shorts, causes parabolic rise, when main play reverses, hit sympathy play as hard as he can (10,000-50,000 shares), hold for several days, or as long as possible
- Toxic companies need to raise money
- Bleeding doesn't stop in one day ... wait a few days, be patient for the "hard money"
- After a day or two, people move on to the next stock du jour, forgotten stock sells down down down
- Uses VWAP as his tell for reversal
- Ebola and forklifts both gave good sympathy plays
- Uses Twitter to pick up on what people are talking about
- He's 99% short, 1% long
- Sometimes he gets long when his short position doesn't work out, reverses himself, but that's rare
- His friends have no idea how much money he makes
- 22 years old is the time to take risks, no bills, no mortgage, lives with his Dad
- Doesn't spend much money except for going out on the weekends
- Doesn't want to show off
- Open book about his numbers with any fellow trader because they'll understand
- Bought foreclosure house to flip
- Contractor nickel and dimed him, crooked guys, other annoyances, but not super difficult
- Missed trading during the house renovation project
- Low-float plays came back just after his house sale
- Need a good, trustrworthy honest team to do real estate, can't get screwed at every turn
- Learned you don't need nice kitchen appliances or countertops in a crappy neighborhood
- Learned you can't go super-cheap on the bathrooms
- Grow your small account by trading your single set-up consistently
- Little things add up and it happens faster than you'd imagine
- www.investorsunderground.com/AT09/
- Twitter: AT09_Trader